Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.085202 0.098791 0.113647 0.131067 0.150906 0.172768 0.198654
2025-01-05 0.064640 0.082629 0.104064 0.131374 0.165121 0.205324 0.256705
2025-01-12 0.049107 0.068506 0.093458 0.127647 0.172982 0.230700 0.309361
2025-01-19 0.038863 0.058653 0.085904 0.125721 0.181863 0.257550 0.366509
2025-01-26 0.033850 0.054736 0.085258 0.132389 0.202419 0.301499 0.450827
2025-02-02 0.029764 0.051269 0.084440 0.138282 0.222115 0.345907 0.540146
2025-02-09 0.024378 0.044696 0.077747 0.134062 0.225795 0.366912 0.596980
2025-02-16 0.020691 0.040199 0.073523 0.132880 0.233608 0.394376 0.665615
2025-02-23 0.017335 0.035632 0.068405 0.129320 0.236806 0.414449 0.723975
2025-03-02 0.014723 0.031939 0.064194 0.126606 0.240830 0.435833 0.785892
2025-03-09 0.013068 0.029788 0.062429 0.127938 0.251847 0.469628 0.871118
2025-03-16 0.011103 0.026638 0.058275 0.124180 0.253077 0.486369 0.928100
2025-03-23 0.010331 0.025942 0.058950 0.130007 0.273109 0.538819 1.053727
2025-03-30 0.009239 0.024337 0.057529 0.131457 0.284898 0.577367 1.157693
2025-04-06 0.007928 0.021963 0.054110 0.128292 0.287150 0.598231 1.230655
2025-04-13 0.006919 0.020121 0.051572 0.126638 0.292214 0.624799 1.316511
2025-04-20 0.006587 0.019946 0.052821 0.133499 0.315818 0.689710 1.481849
2025-04-27 0.006226 0.019621 0.053662 0.139515 0.338183 0.753915 1.650665
2025-05-04 0.005355 0.017708 0.050325 0.135298 0.337512 0.770836 1.725415
2025-05-11 0.004749 0.016424 0.048369 0.134125 0.343520 0.802098 1.831894
2025-05-18 0.004117 0.014923 0.045601 0.130544 0.343509 0.820394 1.912467
2025-05-25 0.003602 0.013670 0.043294 0.127811 0.345159 0.842334 2.002326
2025-06-01 0.003295 0.013025 0.042582 0.129157 0.356822 0.887380 2.145571